Alternative Premier League table after 34 games, based on expected goals

Alternative Premier League table after 34 games, based on expected goals
It’s almost done, but it feels like there’s so much unfinished business left to decided in the Premier League.Massive wins for Liverpool, Manchester City, Tottenham, Manchester United, and Southampton have changed things at both ends of the table.10

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp.

Jurgen Klopp’s reds had plenty of pressure on them too having seen Man City beat Crystal Palace just seconds before taking to the pitch at Anfield, where they proceeded to beat foes Chelsea 2-0, thanks to Sadio Mane and a wonder goal from Mohamed Salah.Spurs put on a show at their new stadium with Lucas Moura netting the first hat-trick the world-class arena as they thrashed Huddersfield 4-0, while Ole Gunnar Solskjaer steered his Red Devils to a 2-1 victory over West Ham, thanks to two Paul Pogba penalties.Some results were deserved, others less so. But how would the Premier League table look if it was based on results calculated by ‘Expected Goals’? Here at talkSPORT.com were always keeping an eye onUnderstat.com to see how clubs are performing based on their xG stats.Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below

What is expected goals?

• Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
• Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
• The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
• The xG value of every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.

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20. Huddersfield – Real position = 20Games played – 34Real points = 14 | Expected points = 26.3819. Fulham – Real position = 19Games played – 34Real points = 20 | Expected points = 30.9410

The two Ryans – Babel and Sessegnon celebrate Fulham’s win

18. Brighton & Hove Albion – Real position = 17Games played – 32Real points = 33 | Expected points = 31.0717. Cardiff City – Real position = 18Games played – 33Real points = 28 | Expected points = 31.0716. Newcastle United – Real position = 15Games played – 34Real points = 38 | Expected points = 33.5510

Miguel Almiron celebrates with goalscorer Ayoze Perez

15. West Ham – Real position = 11Games played – 34Real points = 42 | Expected points = 36.0514. Southampton – Real position = 16Games played – 33Real points = 36 | Expected points = 38.6213. Burnley – Real position = 14Games played – 34Real points = 39 | Expected points = 39.9610

Burnley star Chris Wood celebrates.

12. Watford – Real position = 10Games played – 32Real points = 46 | Expected points = 41.9711. Bournemouth – Real position = 12Games played – 34Real points = 41 | Expected points = 45.4810. Crystal Palace – Real position = 13Games played – 34Real points = 39 | Expected points = 45.6510

Aaron Wan-Bissaka has been a star for Crystal Palace this season

9. Everton – Real position = 9Games played – 34Real points = 46 | Expected points = 46.188. Wolverhampton Wanderers – Real position = 8Games played – 33Real points = 47 | Expected points = 49.86

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7. Arsenal – Real position = 6Games played – 32Real points = 63 | Expected points = 50.766. Leicester – Real position = 7Games played – 34Real points = 47 | Expected points = 51.1310

Jamie Vardy heads Leicester’s best chance over the bar against Newcastle

5. Manchester United – Real position = 5Games played – 33Real points = 64 | Expected points = 55.644. Tottenham – Real position = 3Games played – 33Real points = 67 | Expected points = 56.0410

Tottenham ace Lucas Moura celebrates his third goal.

3. Chelsea – Real position = 4Games played – 34Real points = 66 | Expected points = 63.30getty10

Chelsea starlet Callum Hudson-Odoi

2. Liverpool – Real position = 1Games played – 34Real points = 85 | Expected points = 74.6710

Salah scored a screamer as Liverpool beat Chelsea at Anfield

1. Manchester City – Real position = 2Games played – 33Real points = 83 | Expected points = 80.1410

Raheem Sterling was Manchester City’s star man once again

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Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match. Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
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